Simulation core
Edge engine
One model of a match prices the whole board. We build the full score-probability matrix from each side's attack and defense, correct the low-score cells the way real football behaves (Dixon-Coles), and read every market straight off it. Pick a fixture. Fair prices in American odds.
vs
Match result
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team totals
Asian handicap
Correct score
Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson (low-score correlation ρ = −0.03), ratings from scoring and conceding rates per our team model. Fair odds remove no margin; a book price longer than fair is where an edge would sit. Not betting advice.