The market

Prices are information. We treat every line and prop like a traded instrument and record its price at the moments that matter: when it opens, about thirty minutes before kickoff, live at half-time, and how it settles. We track the two books that matter most, Pinnacle the sharp benchmark and DraftKings the retail one, across every league and cup we cover. This reads the tape on its own terms, apart from our models. The edge often lives in the gap between where the market has a price and where the market is still catching up.

4 captures 495 lines Pinnacle + DraftKings since Jul 12, 6:56 PM ● opening · T-30 · half-time · result

Pinnacle vs DraftKings

Same line, two books, side by side. Pinnacle is the sharp benchmark; where DraftKings is priced away from it, that gap is the signal. Sorted by the widest disagreement.

LineFixturePinnacleDraftKingsgap

Result · Werder Bremen SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen +253 +225 2%

Result · FC Schalke 04 Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 +228 +205 2%

Result · TSG Hoffenheim 1. FC Köln v TSG Hoffenheim +119 +110 2%

Result · Draw Frosinone v Juventus +340 +310 2%

Result · Draw Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 +267 +245 2%

Result · Draw Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt +249 +230 2%

Result · Draw Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV +443 +400 2%

Result · Feyenoord Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord -145 -155 2%

Result · Groningen Groningen v FC Utrecht +144 +135 2%

Result · Frosinone Frosinone v Juventus +556 +500 1%

Result · Draw Bayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart +554 +500 1%

Result · 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln v TSG Hoffenheim +202 +190 1%

Result · Eintracht Frankfurt Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt +186 +175 1%

Result · Draw SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen +257 +240 1%

Result · Lecce Venezia v Lecce +218 +205 1%

Result · Venezia Venezia v Lecce +132 +125 1%

Result · Draw Venezia v Lecce +218 +205 1%

Result · Draw 1. FC Köln v TSG Hoffenheim +266 +250 1%

Result · Bayer Leverkusen Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen -184 -195 1%

Result · Elversberg Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen +400 +370 1%

Result · Draw Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen +355 +330 1%

Result · Borussia Monchengladbach RB Leipzig v Borussia Monchengladbach +422 +390 1%

Result · Draw RB Leipzig v Borussia Monchengladbach +356 +330 1%

Result · FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn -147 -155 1%

Movers · open → pre-kickoff

How far a line drifted from where it opened to about thirty minutes before kickoff. The market repricing during the day is often the first tell.

Movement activates once lines have both an opening and a pre-kickoff snapshot. The first pre-kickoff captures run ~30 min before each fixture, so this fills as games approach.

The journey · settled

The full life of a line: where it opened, where it closed before kickoff, where it traded at half-time, and how the match finished.

No settled fixtures yet. Each tracked event is settled from the final score after full time, and its price journey lands here.

The Odds API, American odds, implied probability shown. Append-only price history: opening (daily), pre-kickoff (~T-30), half-time (live), result settled from the final score. Pinnacle + DraftKings only. All markets the two books carry. Market data only, no model inputs. Information only, not betting advice.