Season projection

We play the whole season 4,000 times. Each match is a scoreline drawn from the team model, a full home-and-away schedule, thousands of parallel seasons. Out of them falls a projected final table and the odds that matter for the outright markets: who wins it, who reaches Europe, who goes down.

#	Team	Pts	Title	Europe	Releg

4,000 simulated seasons per league, bivariate-Poisson scorelines from team attack/defense ratings. Title = finished 1st; Europe = the top continental places; Releg = the drop zone. A projection from current ratings, not a forecast of a started season. Information only, not betting advice.