Visuals / xG table
Visualization
xG table
The table each league would have finished on its underlying numbers. We take every shot's expected goals, run each match through a goal model to get expected points, and set that beside the real points. The gap is who ran hot and who got unlucky, the signal that tends to correct next season.
| # | Team | Pts | xPts | +/− | GF | xGF | GA | xGA | xGD |
|---|
Green +/− = more points than the xG deserved (over-performing). Red = fewer points than earned (unlucky, or wasteful).
Latest season, Understat xG. Expected points come from a Poisson model on each match's summed shot quality. Teams with 5+ matches. Information only.