Action value

Goals and assists miss most of what a player does. VAEP values every on-ball action, a pass, a carry, a tackle, by how much it shifts the team's chance of scoring against conceding in the next few moments. Add it up and you see who really drives play, not just who finishes it.

Leaderboard

#	Player	M	Acts	VAEP	Off	Def	/100
1	Kylian Mbappé Lottin	14	1147	+5.8	+7.3	-1.5	+0.50
2	Kieran Trippier	9	1017	+4.4	+4.7	-0.3	+0.43
3	Xherdan Shaqiri	7	666	+4.0	+4.3	-0.3	+0.59
4	Kevin De Bruyne	9	997	+3.7	+3.7	-0.0	+0.37
5	Antoine Griezmann	14	1157	+3.2	+2.9	+0.3	+0.28
6	Joshua Kimmich	6	1010	+3.2	+3.0	+0.1	+0.32
7	Eden Hazard	9	829	+2.9	+2.9	0.0	+0.35
8	Raphaël Varane	13	1168	+2.8	+2.1	+0.7	+0.24
9	Julián Álvarez	7	293	+2.7	+2.7	+0.1	+0.93
10	Ivan Rakitić	7	833	+2.6	+2.5	+0.1	+0.31
11	Edinson Roberto Cavani Gómez	7	298	+2.6	+2.6	-0.0	+0.86
12	Young-Gwon Kim	7	588	+2.5	+2.3	+0.2	+0.43
13	Cody Mathès Gakpo	5	353	+2.5	+2.5	-0.0	+0.70
14	Bruno Miguel Borges Fernandes	6	530	+2.3	+2.2	+0.1	+0.43
15	Raphaël Adelino José Guerreiro	8	808	+2.3	+2.1	+0.1	+0.28
16	Salem Mohammed Al Dawsari	6	675	+2.2	+2.0	+0.2	+0.33
17	Hirving Rodrigo Lozano Bahena	7	502	+2.2	+2.3	-0.2	+0.43
18	Romain Saïss	8	567	+2.1	+1.4	+0.7	+0.38
19	Achraf Hakimi Mouh	10	1015	+2.1	+1.6	+0.5	+0.21
20	Harry Maguire	12	1619	+2.1	+1.7	+0.4	+0.13
21	Yerry Fernando Mina González	3	324	+2.1	+1.8	+0.3	+0.64
22	Kalidou Koulibaly	7	621	+2.0	+1.4	+0.6	+0.33
23	Philippe Coutinho Correia	5	696	+2.0	+2.1	-0.0	+0.29
24	John Stones	12	1803	+2.0	+2.8	-0.8	+0.11
25	Thibaut Courtois	10	567	+2.0	+0.8	+1.2	+0.35
26	Denis Cheryshev	5	213	+1.9	+2.5	-0.6	+0.89
27	Thiago Emiliano da Silva	9	1223	+1.9	+1.8	+0.1	+0.15
28	Paul Pogba	6	673	+1.8	+2.3	-0.5	+0.27
29	Joško Gvardiol	7	1033	+1.7	+1.3	+0.5	+0.17
30	Toni Kroos	3	641	+1.7	+2.1	-0.4	+0.26
31	Wahbi Khazri	5	247	+1.7	+1.7	0.0	+0.67
32	Šime Vrsaljko	6	688	+1.6	+1.4	+0.2	+0.24
33	Luis Gerardo Chávez Magallón	3	286	+1.6	+1.7	-0.1	+0.57
34	Luke Shaw	5	739	+1.6	+1.6	+0.1	+0.22
35	Jordan Pickford	12	675	+1.6	+1.5	+0.1	+0.24
36	Ángel Fabián Di María Hernández	8	596	+1.5	+2.1	-0.6	+0.26
37	Bukayo Saka	4	265	+1.5	+1.5	+0.0	+0.58
38	Jordan Brian Henderson	9	868	+1.5	+2.0	-0.5	+0.18
39	Granit Xhaka	8	1133	+1.5	+1.5	+0.0	+0.13
40	Ashley Young	5	419	+1.5	+1.5	+0.0	+0.35
41	Samuel Yves Umtiti	6	417	+1.5	+1.8	-0.3	+0.35
42	Jérôme Boateng	2	373	+1.4	+1.4	+0.1	+0.39
43	Heung-Min Son	7	511	+1.4	+1.4	-0.0	+0.28
44	Rúben Santos Gato Alves Dias	4	522	+1.4	+1.4	+0.1	+0.27
45	Cristiano Ronaldo dos Santos Aveiro	9	476	+1.4	+1.6	-0.2	+0.30
46	Aleksandar Kolarov	3	260	+1.4	+1.3	+0.1	+0.54
47	José María Giménez de Vargas	7	653	+1.4	+1.7	-0.3	+0.21
48	Andreas Christensen	7	834	+1.4	+1.1	+0.3	+0.17
49	Nacer Chadli	6	385	+1.4	+1.3	+0.1	+0.35
50	Harry Kane	11	571	+1.3	+4.2	-2.9	+0.23

VAEP = offensive value (added scoring probability) minus defensive value (added conceding probability), per socceraction, two LightGBM models on 884 rated players. Built on StatsBomb open data, a fixed reference match set (major tournaments), not live league play. Off/Def are the split of total VAEP. Information only.