Model reads · Premier League

Where the model leans

Our club model prices the player-prop markets it covers, goalscorer, shots and cards, then sets each read against the posted price. Below are the calls where it leaned hardest, the priced edges first.

466 model reads 9 value edges 457 model leans

The last slate our model priced, from the close of the 2025/26 season. Live reads on upcoming fixtures return when the new season kicks off.

Value a priced edge · Lean a softer model tilt · Price a reference · Vendor market only. Our probability vs the best posted price. Information only.

Model read

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United)

1 value

Goalscorer

Yoane Wissa50%+4.48Value

Model read

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

1 value

Goalscorer

Mohamed Salah53.1%+2.21Value

Model read

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

1 value

Goalscorer

Kaoru Mitoma32%+3.6Value

Model read

James Garner (Everton)

1 value

Discipline

James Garner71.2%+1.44Value

Model read

James Garner (Everton)

1 value

Discipline

James Garner71.2%+1.44Value

Model read

Harry Wilson (Fulham)

1 value

Goalscorer

Harry Wilson22.1%+4.98Value

Model read

Harry Maguire (Manchester United)

1 value

Goalscorer

Harry Maguire6.6%+16.33Value

Model read

James Justin (Leicester City)

1 value

Discipline

James Justin59.8%+1.69Value

Model read

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

1 value

Goalscorer

Marc Cucurella7.9%+13.25Value

Model read

William Osula (Newcastle United)

1 lean

Goalscorer

William Osula7.9%Lean

Model read

Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Morgan Gibbs-White18.8%Lean

Model read

João Pedro (Chelsea)

1 lean

Goalscorer

João Pedro24.2%Lean

Model read

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Danny Welbeck24.2%Lean

Model read

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Noah Okaforprice only+3.57Lean

Model read

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle United)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Bruno Guimarães15.4%Lean

Model read

Mason Mount (Manchester United)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Mason Mount22.1%Lean

Model read

Matheus Cunha (Manchester United)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Matheus Cunha36.5%Lean

Model read

Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Bryan Mbeumo50%Lean

Model read

Tomas Soucek (West Ham)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Tomas Soucekprice only+7.5Lean

Model read

Santiago Bueno (Wolverhampton Wanderers)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Santiago Buenoprice only+19.38Lean

Model read

Patrick Dorgu (Manchester United)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Patrick Dorgu3.2%Lean

Model read

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Mikel Merino20%Lean

Model read

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Cole Palmer28%Lean

Model read

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle United)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Anthony Gordon11.1%Lean