Model reads · Serie A

Where the model leans

Our club model prices the player-prop markets it covers, goalscorer, shots and cards, then sets each read against the posted price. Below are the calls where it leaned hardest, the priced edges first.

467 model reads 2 value edges 465 model leans

The last slate our model priced, from the close of the 2025/26 season. Live reads on upcoming fixtures return when the new season kicks off.

Value a priced edge · Lean a softer model tilt · Price a reference · Vendor market only. Our probability vs the best posted price. Information only.

Model read

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

1 value

Goalscorer

Moise Kean50%+3.25Value

Model read

Assane Diao (Como)

1 value

Goalscorer

Assane Diao34.9%+3.08Value

Model read

Lautaro Martínez (Inter)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Lautaro Martínez38.7%Lean

Model read

Keinan Davis (Udinese)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Keinan Davis11.1%Lean

Model read

Giovanni Simeone (Torino)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Giovanni Simeone6.6%Lean

Model read

Rafael Leão (AC Milan)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Rafael Leão18.8%Lean

Model read

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Artem Dovbyk24.2%Lean

Model read

Christian Kabasele (Udinese)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Christian Kabasele7.9%Lean

Model read

Jens Odgaard (Bologna)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Jens Odgaard10.9%Lean

Model read

Hakan Calhanoglu (Inter)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Hakan Calhanogluprice only+3.92Lean

Model read

Junior Messias (Genoa)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Junior Messias6.3%Lean

Model read

Cesare Casadei (Torino)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Cesare Casadei7.9%Lean

Model read

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Albert Gudmundsson11.1%Lean

Model read

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (Udinese)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp7.9%Lean

Model read

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Nikola Krstovicprice only+2.57Lean

Model read

Andrea Pinamonti (Sassuolo)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Andrea Pinamonti11.5%Lean

Model read

Federico Dimarco (Inter)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Federico Dimarco16.8%Lean

Model read

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma Calcio 1913)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Mateo Pellegrino16.8%Lean

Model read

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Scott McTominay26.7%Lean

Model read

Che Adams (Torino)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Che Adams20%Lean

Model read

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Robin Gosens7.9%Lean

Model read

Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Sebastiano Esposito16.7%Lean

Model read

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Lorenzo Colombo10.9%Lean

Model read

Mario Hermoso (Roma)

1 lean

Goalscorer

Mario Hermoso1%Lean