Peak Props
Peak Props SERIE A · SCOUTING · 2024-25 BASELINE · 2025-26 PREVIEW
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Player impact

Value every touch.

Serie A scouting desk built on the last complete season (2024-25 baseline · 2025-26 preview). Sofascore season ratings stand in where ASA Goals Added (g+) does not exist for European leagues; fbref per-90 and Understat finishing fill the advanced layer.

SR
Sofascore rating
40
Rated players
40
Preview targets
340
Advanced profiles

Serie A Sofascore impact leaderboard

  1. 1 Oliver Christensen Fiorentina 8.60
  2. 2 Manuel Locatelli Juventus 7.72
  3. 3 Filippo Rinaldi Parma 7.60
  4. 4 Luka Modrić AC Milan 7.53
  5. 5 Hakan Çalhanoğlu Inter 7.50
  6. 6 Federico Dimarco Inter 7.43
  7. 7 Benjamin Pavard Inter 7.40
  8. 8 Kenan Yıldız Juventus 7.39
  9. 9 Nico Paz Como 7.33
  10. 10 Marco Carnesecchi Atalanta 7.33
  11. 11 Alisson Santos SSC Napoli 7.29
  12. 12 Alessandro Bastoni Inter 7.27
  13. 13 Adrien Rabiot AC Milan 7.23
  14. 14 Mike Maignan AC Milan 7.23
  15. 15 Nicolò Fagioli Fiorentina 7.23
  16. 16 Amir Rrahmani SSC Napoli 7.23
  17. 17 Charles De Ketelaere Atalanta 7.22
  18. 18 Donyell Malen AS Roma 7.21
  19. 19 Samuel Chukwueze AC Milan 7.20
  20. 20 Medon Berisha Lecce 7.20
  21. 21 Alessio Furlanetto Lazio 6.95
  22. 22 Justin Bijlow Genoa 6.94
  23. 23 Mariano Troilo Parma 6.94
  24. 24 Fabiano Parisi Fiorentina 6.94
  25. 25 Nicolò Cambiaghi Bologna 6.94
  26. 26 Henrikh Mkhitaryan Inter 6.94
  27. 27 Mandela Keita Parma 6.93
  28. 28 Mario Hermoso AS Roma 6.93
  29. 29 Frank Anguissa SSC Napoli 6.93
  30. 30 Aarón Martín Genoa 6.93
  31. 31 Yerry Mina Cagliari 6.93
  32. 32 Evan Ndicka AS Roma 6.93
  33. 33 Matteo Gabbia AC Milan 6.93
  34. 34 Stefano Turati Sassuolo 6.92
  35. 35 Gabriel Strefezza Parma 6.92
  36. 36 Yann Sommer Inter 6.92
  37. 37 Nikola Vlašić Torino 6.91
  38. 38 Rafael Leão AC Milan 6.91
  39. 39 Thomas Kristensen Udinese 6.91
  40. 40 Matteo Politano SSC Napoli 6.91

Season-average Sofascore match rating (0–10), min substantial sample from dh_sofascore_player_ratings. Information only.

Serie A preview targets, 2025-26

Highest combined npxG + xAG per 90 from the 2024-25 baseline. The prop desk's forward-looking shortlist.

  1. • Mateo Retegui FW 0.74
  2. • Santiago Giménez FW 0.67
  3. • Ademola Lookman MF,FW 0.67
  4. • Moise Kean FW 0.65
  5. • Gianluca Gaetano MF,FW 0.63
  6. • Lautaro Martínez FW 0.62
  7. • Rafael Leão FW 0.61
  8. • Charles De Ketelaere MF,FW 0.58
  9. • Valentín Castellanos FW 0.57
  10. • Paulo Dybala FW,MF 0.57
  11. • Tammy Abraham FW 0.57
  12. • Marcus Thuram FW 0.56
  13. • Samuel Chukwueze FW,MF 0.55
  14. • Christian Pulisic FW,MF 0.55
  15. • Riccardo Orsolini FW 0.55
  16. • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia FW,MF 0.54
  17. • Dušan Vlahović FW 0.53
  18. • Giacomo Raspadori FW,MF 0.53
  19. • Daniel Mosquera FW 0.52
  20. • Joaquín Correa FW,MF 0.50
  21. • Eldor Shomurodov FW,MF 0.50
  22. • Mateo Pellegrino FW 0.49
  23. • Nicolás Paz MF,FW 0.48
  24. • Ante Rebić FW,MF 0.48
  25. • Matías Vecino MF 0.47
  26. • Mehdi Taremi FW 0.47
  27. • Artem Dovbyk FW 0.47
  28. • João Félix MF 0.46
  29. • Boulaye Dia MF,FW 0.46
  30. • Pedro FW,MF 0.45
  31. • Francisco Conceição FW,MF 0.45
  32. • David Neres FW 0.44
  33. • Florian Thauvin FW,MF 0.44
  34. • Dennis Man FW,MF 0.44
  35. • Romelu Lukaku FW 0.43
  36. • Loum Tchaouna FW,MF 0.42
  37. • Keinan Davis FW 0.42
  38. • Randal Kolo Muani FW 0.42
  39. • Mario Pašalić MF 0.41
  40. • Matìas Soulé MF,DF 0.41
Power rankings

Serie A ClubElo + xG

Top clubs by ClubElo with team xG per match from the baseline season

  1. #1Inter1889⚔ 1.18
  2. #2Roma1793⚔ 1.06
  3. #3Napoli1780⚔ 1.11
  4. #4Juventus1772⚔ 1.14
  5. #5Atalanta1764⚔ 1.20
  6. #6Como1760⚔ 1.08
  7. #7Milan1750⚔ 0.96
  8. #8Lazio1703⚔ 1.06
  9. #9Bologna1701⚔ 1.17
  10. #10Fiorentina1670⚔ 1.23
  11. #11Udinese1646⚔ 1.07
  12. #12Torino1624⚔ 1.12
  13. #13Sassuolo1622
  14. #14Genoa1618⚔ 0.99
  15. #15Parma1600⚔ 1.02
  16. #16Venezia1599⚔ 0.89
  17. #17Cagliari1594⚔ 0.94
  18. #18Lecce1568⚔ 0.78
  19. #19Frosinone1565
  20. #20Monza1544⚔ 0.94

Source: ClubElo · dh_clubelo_ratings + match hub Understat xG

Advanced metrics leaderboard

fbref per-90 leaders

340 players with 900+ baseline minutes

Top npxG / 90

  1. #1Moise KeanFiorentina0.59
  2. #2Mateo ReteguiAtalanta0.56
  3. #3Lautaro MartínezInter0.47
  4. #4Dušan VlahovićJuventus0.46
  5. #5Daniel MosqueraHellas Verona0.44
  6. #6Gianluca GaetanoCagliari0.43
  7. #7Valentín CastellanosLazio0.43
  8. #8Tammy AbrahamMilan0.41
  9. #9Marcus ThuramInter0.39
  10. #10Eldor ShomurodovRoma0.39

Top xAG / 90

  1. #1Rafael LeãoMilan0.32
  2. #2Paulo DybalaRoma0.32
  3. #3Ademola LookmanAtalanta0.29
  4. #4Francisco ConceiçãoJuventus0.29
  5. #5Samuel ChukwuezeMilan0.29
  6. #6Nicolò FagioliFiorentina0.28
  7. #7Khvicha KvaratskheliaNapoli0.28
  8. #8Charles De KetelaereAtalanta0.26
  9. #9Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter0.26
  10. #10Federico DimarcoInter0.26

Source: dh_fbref_player_standard + passing + defense (2024-25)

Finishing vs xG

2024-25

  1. 1Nico Pazepl · 12G vs 7.4 xG+4.6
  2. 2Martin Baturinaepl · 6G vs 1.9 xG+4.1
  3. 3Piotr Zielinskiepl · 5G vs 1.3 xG+3.7
  4. 4Hakan Calhanogluepl · 5G vs 1.3 xG+3.7
  5. 5Armand Laurienteepl · 7G vs 4.4 xG+2.6
  6. 6Wesleyepl · 5G vs 2.5 xG+2.5
  7. 7Alisson Santosepl · 4G vs 1.5 xG+2.5
  8. 8Jens Odgaardepl · 5G vs 2.7 xG+2.3
  9. 9Pedroepl · 3G vs 0.7 xG+2.3
  10. 10Leo Østigardepl · 5G vs 2.9 xG+2.1
  11. 11Rolando Mandragoraepl · 6G vs 3.9 xG+2.1
  12. 12Kenan Yildizepl · 9G vs 7.1 xG+1.9
  13. 13Leonardo Spinazzolaepl · 3G vs 1.2 xG+1.8
  14. 14Lameck Bandaepl · 5G vs 3.2 xG+1.8
  15. 15Adrien Rabiotepl · 6G vs 4.4 xG+1.6
  16. 16Gianluca Manciniepl · 4G vs 2.4 xG+1.6
  17. 17Domenico Berardiepl · 6G vs 4.5 xG+1.5
  18. 18Franck Zamboepl · 4G vs 2.6 xG+1.4
  19. 19Cesare Casadeiepl · 6G vs 4.7 xG+1.3
  20. 20Matìas Soulè Malvanoepl · 6G vs 4.7 xG+1.3
  21. 21Bremerepl · 4G vs 2.7 xG+1.3
  22. 22Tommaso Pobegaepl · 3G vs 1.8 xG+1.2
  23. 23Marcus Thuramepl · 13G vs 11.9 xG+1.1
  24. 24Strahinja Pavlovicepl · 5G vs 3.9 xG+1.1

Goals minus expected goals (Understat), minimum 20 open-play shots. Positive means finishing above the chances created. Information only.

dh_understat_shots

Player value clusters

340 players profiled

Deep creator / chance supplier(19)

  1. #1Rafael Leão6.22
  2. #2Samuel Chukwueze5.25
  3. #3Charles De Ketelaere5.25
  4. #4Paulo Dybala4.86
  5. #5Nicolò Fagioli3.97

Progressive ball-carrier(38)

  1. #1Ademola Lookman6.14
  2. #2Francisco Conceição5.80
  3. #3David Neres4.37
  4. #4Dan Ndoye4.33
  5. #5Kenan Yıldız4.02

Balanced / low-usage(55)

  1. #1Łukasz Skorupski3.36
  2. #2Elia Caprile3.36
  3. #3Simone Scuffet3.36
  4. #4Pepe Reina3.36
  5. #5Devis Vásquez3.36

Ball-winner / disruptor(68)

  1. #1Adrian Bernabe3.92
  2. #2Michael Svoboda3.82
  3. #3Pablo Marí3.76
  4. #4Alfred Duncan3.57
  5. #5Mattia Viti3.29

Box threat / finisher(62)

  1. #1Hakan Çalhanoğlu4.72
  2. #2Nicolò Barella3.89
  3. #3Manuel Locatelli3.76
  4. #4Mattéo Guendouzi3.42
  5. #5Marten de Roon3.23

Shooter / goal threat(46)

  1. #1Moise Kean5.13
  2. #2Mateo Retegui4.72
  3. #3Gianluca Gaetano4.11
  4. #4Riccardo Orsolini3.90
  5. #5Dušan Vlahović3.70

Circulation passer(26)

  1. #1Matìas Soulé5.22
  2. #2Lazar Samardzic4.90
  3. #3Christian Pulisic4.71
  4. #4Juan Miranda3.90
  5. #5Giacomo Raspadori3.61

Dribble-carrier(27)

  1. #1Khvicha Kvaratskhelia7.24
  2. #2Nuno Tavares5.56
  3. #3Daniel Maldini5.51
  4. #4Vitinha5.31
  5. #5Florian Thauvin4.72

Source: fbref per-90 k-means · serie-a-scouting bake

Role archetypes

Every tracked player clustered into a playing role

Per-90 profile from SportMonks match logs (shots, key passes, tackles, duels). Minimum 180 minutes.

  • Elite attacker / Goal threat #1128
  • Centre-back / Defensive anchor125
  • Full-back / Possession-safe103
  • Box-to-box / Ball-winner75
  • Elite attacker / Goal threat #266

dh_sm_player_match_stats league_id=384

Squad bios

Position, club and minutes for tracked players

The reference layer behind every prop projection — 276 players with 900+ baseline minutes.

serie-a-player-hub.json